Category — Disney World Price Seasons

Updated Planning Tools for Disney World in 2017

by Dave

Over the past couple of weeks, I’ve updated my key planning tools for a 2017 visit to Walt Disney World:

(Kelly B can book your 2017 Disney World vacation for you–contact her at KellyB@DestinationsInFlorida.com or 980-429-4499.)

The price season update was based on Disney’s actual price calendar for 2017, published June 21.

The crowd calendar update was based on analysis of the 2016-2017 school year breaks of more than 15.4 million school kids–see this for an example. I analyzed for 2017 almost 280 districts, and too many of these don’t finalize their calendars until June–late June in the case of many Michigan districts, which go on spring break April 1 in 2017…

And the week rankings were revised because actual prices and updated crowd forecasts are major components in their design–with other important factors being as always ride closures, the peak of the hurricane season, and the Disney World holiday program.

After major price season changes in 2016, structural changes to the seasons on 2017 were minor–although the changes in 2017 price levels are interesting. So my forecasts largely held up, and the only week that saw a material change from the actual prices was the week beginning 4/22. It sees lower prices at the beginning of the week than I’d forecast, and moved as a result in the week rankings from #12 to #9.

Crowd rankings saw several significant changes.

Because Christmas breaks extend longer into January than I’d thought they would, the first week of January 2017 saw an increase in expected crowds.
Disney World’s recent announcement of its involvement in the 2017 Pro Bowl caused me to increase expected crowds in later January.
And actual 2017 spring break calendars suggest that crowds the week of April 1, 2017 will be higher than I had last forecast.

The most significant change to week rankings from changes in the crowd calendar came for the week beginning 4/1, which moved from a ranking of 14 at the bottom of my list of recommended weeks to a week ranking of 19 near the bottom of my “not so keen” weeks.

As always, I’m sorry about where I got it wrong–especially the week of 4/1. I get one week so substantively wrong every two years or so, and almost always in the spring break seasons, where the moving date of Easter cause a cascade of other effects, not all predictable even though I’ve been doing this for a while now.

But the alternative, delaying any forecasts for the next year until July, when the full set of school calendars and (usually) prices is available–also seems to me a mistake as well, since there’s so much value to being able to plan your trips ahead of time…

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July 4, 2016 No Comments

Disney World 2017 Price Seasons

by Dave

2017 RESORT PRICE SEASONS AT WALT DISNEY WORLD

The material below shows resort price seasons at Walt Disney World at different times of the year in 2017.

(For 2018 Disney World resort prices, see this, and for 2019 Disney World resort prices, see this.)

Although this may change at the next ticket price increase, currently only one-day ticket prices vary over the course of the year–multi-day tickets do not, although they typically have an annual increase during the year. See this for more on ticket prices.

Resort prices, however, can be almost twice as high during some periods as they are at others.

In the material below, “X% Higher” means compared to the lowest prices of the year.

The image gives an overview of the year, with specifics in the lists that follow.

In addition to the details presented below, Disney ups prices even more during certain weekends and holidays–particularly over the Marathon weekend, Martin Luther King Day weekend, President’s Day weekend, Memorial Day weekend, Columbus Day weekend, and Veterans Day weekend.

2017 DISNEY WORLD PRICE SEASONS: VALUE RESORTS

40-45% higher–the peak season–begins 1/1/2017
Lowest of year–the value season—begins 1/2/17
40-45% higher–the peak season–begins 2/16/17
20-25% higher–the regular season-begins 2/26/17
40-45% higher–the peak season–begins 3/10/17
55-75% higher–the Easter season–begins 4/9/17
40-45% higher–the peak season–begins 4/21/17
20-25% higher–the regular season–begins 4/23/17
30-45% higher–the summer season–begins 5/26/17
20-25% higher–the regular season–begins 8/13/17
5-10% higher–the fall season–begins 8/25/17
20-25% higher–the regular season–begins 9/17/17
5-10% higher–the fall season– begins 10/29/17
20-40% higher over Thanksgiving begins 11/18/17
5-10% higher–the fall season—begins 11/25/17
20-25% higher–the regular season–begins 12/10/17
40-45% higher–the peak season–begins 12/15/17
60-75% higher–the holiday season–begins 12/22/17

2017 DISNEY WORLD PRICE SEASONS: DELUXE RESORTS

25-35% higher–the peak season–begins 1/1/17
Lowest of year–the value season—begins 1/2/17
25-35% higher–the peak season–begins 2/16/17
15-20% higher–the regular season–begins 2/26/17
25-35% higher–the peak season–begins 3/10/17
35-55% higher–the Easter season–begins 4/9/17
25-35% higher–the peak season–begins 4/21/17
15-20% higher–the regular season–begins 4/23/17
10% higher–the summer season–begins 5/26/17
0-5% higher–near-lowest of year–the value season 2—begins 7/7/17
Lowest of year–the value season—begins 8/25/17
5-20% higher–the regular season 2–begins 9/22/17
5-15% higher–the fall season–begins 10/15/17
15-20% higher–the regular season–begins 11/3/17
5-15% higher–the fall season–begins 11/13/17
20-25% higher during Thanksgiving begins 11/21/17
5-15% higher–the fall season–begins 11/25/17
20% higher–the regular season–beings 12/10/17
25-35% higher–the peak season–begins 12/15/17
40-60% higher–the holiday season–begins 12/22/17

2017 DISNEY WORLD PRICE SEASONS: MODERATE RESORTS

20-25% higher–the peak season–begins 1/1/17
Lowest of year–the value season—begins 1/2/17
20-25% higher–the peak season–begins 2/16/17
15-20% higher–the regular season-begins 2/26/17
20-25% higher–the peak season–begins 3/10/17
45-50% higher–the Easter season–begins 4/9/17
20-25% higher–the peak season–begins 4/21/17
15-20% higher–the regular season–begins 4/23/17
15-20% higher–the summer season–begins 5/26/17
15-20% higher–the regular season–begins 8/13/17
10-15% higher–the fall season–begins 8/25/17
15-20% higher–the regular season–begins 9/17/17
10-15% higher–the fall season–begins 10/29/17
20-25% higher over Thanksgiving begins 11/18/17
10-15% higher–the fall season—begins 11/25/17
15-20% higher–the regular season–beings 12/10
20-25% higher–the peak season–begins 12/15/17
50-55% higher–the holiday season–begins 12/22/17

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September 27, 2015 31 Comments

Disney World 2016 Price Seasons

by Dave

2016 RESORT PRICE SEASONS AT WALT DISNEY WORLD

The material below shows resort price seasons at Walt Disney World at different times of the year in 2016.

(For 2017 prices, see this, and for 2018 prices, see this.)

Only one-day ticket prices vary over the course of the year–multi-day tickets do not, although they typically have an annual increase during the year. See this for more on ticket prices.

Resort prices, however, can be almost twice as high during some periods as they are at others.

2016 DISNEY WORLD PRICE SEASONS

Below are Walt Disney World 2016 resort price seasons by resort type.

“X% Higher” means compared to the lowest prices of the year. Because these increases are different on some weekends vs. weekdays, increases are averaged across the recommended 8 night visit.

In addition to the details below, Disney ups prices an additional $10-50 per night during certain weekends and holidays–particularly over the Marathon weekend, Martin Luther King Day weekend, Memorial Day weekend, 4th of July weekend, and Columbus Day weekend.

You can see–well, maybe you can see–the full prices over the year from the chart above.

2016 DISNEY WORLD PRICE SEASONS: VALUE RESORTS

Lowest of year–the value season—begins 1/3/16
25% higher–the regular season-begins 2/7/16
45% higher–the peak season–begins 2/11/16
25% higher–the regular season-begins 2/21/16
45% higher–the peak season–begins 3/4/16
60% higher–the Easter season–begins 3/20/16
25% higher–the regular season–begins 4/3/16
45% higher–the summer season–begins 5/27/16
25% higher–the regular season–begins 8/14/16
10% higher–the fall season–begins 8/19/16
25% higher–the regular season–begins 9/18/16
10% higher–the fall season– begins 10/30/16
50% higher over Thanksgiving begins 11/19/16
10% higher–the fall season—begins 11/26/16
45% higher–the peak season–begins 12/11/16
65% higher–the holiday season–begins 12/22/16

2016 DISNEY WORLD PRICE SEASONS: DELUXE RESORTS

Lowest of year–the value season—begins 1/3/16
20% higher–the regular season–begins 2/7/16
30% higher–the peak season–begins 2/11/16
20% higher–the regular season–begins 2/21/16
30% higher–the peak season–begins 3/4/16
45% higher–the Easter season–begins 3/20/16
20% higher–the regular season–begins 4/3/16
10% higher–the summer season–begins 5/27/16
3% higher–near-lowest of year–the value season 2—begins 7/10/16
Lowest of year–the value season—begins 8/14/16
12% higher–the regular season 2–begins 9/23/16
6% higher–the fall season–begins 10/16/16
20% higher–the regular season–begins 11/4/16
6% higher–the fall season–begins 11/13/16
20% higher during Thanksgiving begins 11/22/16
6% higher–the fall season, with low prices, begins 11/26/16
30% higher–the peak season–begins 12/11/16
55% higher–the holiday season–begins 12/22/16

2016 DISNEY WORLD PRICE SEASONS: MODERATE RESORTS

Lowest of year–the value season—begins 1/3/16
20% higher–the regular season-begins 2/7/16
25% higher–the peak season–begins 2/11/16
20% higher–the regular season-begins 2/21/16
25% higher–the peak season–begins 3/4/16
45% higher–the Easter season–begins 3/20/16
20% higher–the regular season–begins 4/3/16
15% higher–the summer season–begins 5/27/16
20% higher–the regular season–begins 8/14/16
10% higher–the fall season–begins 8/19/16
20% higher–the regular season–begins 9/18/16
10% higher–the fall season–begins 10/30/16
50% higher over Thanksgiving begins 11/19/16
10% higher–the fall season—begins 11/26/16
25% higher–the peak season–begins 12/11/16
50% higher–the holiday season–begins 12/22/16

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September 24, 2014 34 Comments

Disney World 2015 Price Seasons

by Dave

2015 RESORT PRICE SEASONS AT WALT DISNEY WORLD

The material below shows resort price seasons at Walt Disney World at different times of the year in 2015.

(For 2016 prices, see this, and 2017 prices, this)

Ticket prices don’t vary over the course of the year–although they typically have an annual increase during the year. See this for more on ticket prices.

Resort prices, however, are almost twice as high during some periods as they are at others.

2015 DISNEY WORLD PRICE SEASONS

Below are Walt Disney World 2015 resort price seasons by resort type. Value prices are based on Pop Century, moderates on Caribbean Beach, and deluxes on the Polynesian.

“X% Higher” means compared to the lowest prices of the year. Because these increases are different on some weekends vs. weekdays, increases are averaged across the recommended 8 night visit.

In addition to the below, Disney ups prices an additional $10-50 per night during certain weekends and holidays–particularly over the Marathon weekend, Martin Luther King Day weekend, Memorial Day weekend, 4th of July weekend, and Columbus Day weekend.

2015 DISNEY WORLD PRICE SEASONS: VALUE RESORTS

Lowest of year–the value season—begins 1/4/15
45% higher–the peak season–begins 2/12/15
25% higher–the regular season-begins 2/22/15
45% higher–the peak season–begins 3/6/15
75% higher–the Easter season–begins 3/29/15
25% higher–the regular season–begins 4/12/15
45% higher–the summer season–begins 5/29/15
5% higher–near lowest of year–the value season 2—begins 8/16/15
10% higher–the fall season, with low prices, begins 9/11/15
50% higher over Thanksgiving begins 11/21/15
10% higher–the fall season, with low prices, begins 11/28/15
45% higher–the peak season–begins 12/11/15
80% higher–the holiday season–begins 12/18/15

2015 DISNEY WORLD PRICE SEASONS: DELUXE RESORTS

Lowest of year–the value season—begins 1/4/15
33% higher–the peak season–begins 2/12/15
16% higher–the regular season–begins 2/22/15
33% higher–the peak season–begins 3/6/15
45% higher–the Easter season–begins 3/29/15
16% higher–the regular season–begins 4/12/15
12% higher–the summer season–begins 5/29/15
1% higher–near-lowest of year–the value season 2—begins 7/12/15
Lowest of year–the value season—begins 8/16/15
12% higher–the regular season 2–begins 9/25/15
10% higher–the fall season, with low prices, begins 10/18/15
25% higher during Thanksgiving begins 11/24
8% higher–the fall season, with low prices, begins 11/28/15
16% higher–the regular season–begins 12/11/15
33% higher–the peak season–begins 12/18/15
55% higher–the holiday season–begins 12/25/15

2015 DISNEY WORLD PRICE SEASONS: MODERATE RESORTS

Lowest of year–the value season—begins 1/4/15
30% higher–the peak season–begins 2/12/15
20% higher–the regular season-begins 2/22/15
30% higher–the peak season–begins 3/6/15
45% higher–the Easter season–begins 3/29/15
20% higher–the regular season–begins 4/12/15
15% higher–the summer season–begins 5/29/15
5% higher–near lowest of year–the value season 2—begins 8/16/15
8% higher–The fall season, with low prices, begins 9/11/15
30% higher for Thanksgiving begins 11/21/15
8% higher–The fall season, with low prices, begins 11/28/15
30% higher–the peak season–begins 12/11/15
50% higher–the holiday season–begins 12/18/15

Walt Disney World 2014 Price Seasons

by Dave

2014 RESORT PRICE SEASONS AT WALT DISNEY WORLD

The material below shows the different resort price seasons at Walt Disney World at different times of the year in 2014.

Ticket prices don’t vary over the course of the year–although they typically have an annual increase in the summer. See this for more on ticket prices.

Resort prices, however, are almost twice as high during some periods as they are at others.

(For 2015 prices, see this, and projected 2016 prices, this.)

2014 DISNEY WORLD PRICE SEASONS

[Read more →]

July 11, 2013 39 Comments

When the 2014 Disney World Prices and Packages Will be Out

by Dave

2014 DISNEY WORLD PRICES TO COME OUT JULY 10

Disney World’s 2014 prices and packages will be out, reportedly, on July 10.

If this happens (sometimes delays come up) and if things works as they have in the past, as of that date or shortly thereafter you’ll be able to book packages for 2014 up to 500 days ahead on Disney World’s website–through the week before Thanksgiving 2014.

(Note that you can always book “room only” 500 days ahead–just not always on the website…)

Once the prices come out, I’ll fix my 2014 price seasons forecasts, and use those–and an updated version of the 2014 Disney World crowd calendar, which I’ll also get out in July–to revise the 2014 week rankings, if needed.

July 6, 2013 1 Comment

Category — Disney World Price Seasons

Updated Planning Tools for Disney World in 2017

Disney World 2017 Price Seasons

2017 RESORT PRICE SEASONS AT WALT DISNEY WORLD

2017 DISNEY WORLD PRICE SEASONS: VALUE RESORTS

2017 DISNEY WORLD PRICE SEASONS: DELUXE RESORTS

2017 DISNEY WORLD PRICE SEASONS: MODERATE RESORTS

Disney World 2016 Price Seasons