By the co-author of The easy Guide to Your Walt Disney World Visit 2017, from the best-reviewed Disney World guidebook series ever. Paperback available on Amazon here. Kindle version available on Amazon here. PDF version available on Gumroad here.



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Disney World Crowds in 2019



By Dave Shute

2019 CROWDS AT WALT DISNEY WORLD

The chart lower on the page shows my draft forecasts for 2019 crowds by week at Walt Disney World. 

I’ll revise these 2019 Disney World crowd forecasts in the summer of 2018, when the full set of school schedules is out.  The week I am most concerned to get full school break data on is that beginning 4/6/19, which looks good at the moment but may change as more data comes in.

The other point some would argue I’ve not sufficiently built in to this calendar is the impact of the opening of the new Star Wars land Galaxy’s Edge in Disney’s Hollywood Studios in 2019.

There’s no formal opening date for this land — “late 2019” is the rumor. I expect it to unfold much like Harry Potter did at Universal–with crushing crowds in the actual land, but not a huge spillover effect on the other parks–or even the rest of Hollywood Studios. If I’m wrong, expect to see an increase of a point or two in the crowd levels after it opens.

THE 2019 DISNEY WORLD DRAFT CROWD CALENDAR

Dates in the Disney World Crowd Calendar are the beginning of the week, and the forecast covers the recommended Saturday-Sunday 9 day stays from that beginning.

(For 2017 crowds click here, and for 2018 Disney World crowds click here.)

Crowd levels are ranked by week from 1-11 in the following way:

1: Lowest of the year

2: Lower

3: Low

4: Low-plus

5: Moderate-minus

6: Moderate

7: Moderate-plus

8: High-minus

9: High

10: Higher

11: Highest

HOW TO INTERPRET THE 2018 DISNEY WORLD CROWD CALENDAR

Dates are the beginning of the week.

As is the case in every good Disney World crowd calendar, the forecasts are about wait times on rides–not about how crowded the areas outside the rides might be.

The “low crowd” weeks–those colored green, and rated 1-4–represent the only crowd levels a family visiting for the first time, and unsure if it will ever return, should consider.

However, lower crowds, especially lowest crowds, do not always mean a better week. The lowest weeks are often best avoided by first timers who may never return because they are in the peak hurricane or the ride closure seasons.

The “moderate crowd” weeks–those in black and rated 5-7–have crowd levels I would not particularly recommend to first time visitors, though the crowds can be managed with careful planning. However, I’d go during such weeks myself with no hesitation, and think these levels are OK for returning visitors who don’t need to see everything and already know how to work Walt Disney World.

The “high crowd” weeks–those in red, rated 8-11–should be avoided by everyone. They aren’t, which is why they are so high.

MY DISNEY WORLD CROWD CALENDAR GOES UP TO “11”

The influence of the Unofficial Guide  and TouringPlans.com has led almost all Disney World crowd calendars to top out at 10.

However, I’ve always thought that the really nastiest weeks of the year deserved an 11 for emphasis.

So, in homage to Spinal Tap, I assigned 11 to “highest.”

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2 comments

1 Jeff { 10.07.17 at 6:47 pm }

Dave – any idea what month Star Wars land will be opening up?

2 Dave { 10.08.17 at 9:58 am }

Jeff, here’s what CEO Bob Iger said in September about the timing of the two Star Wars lands:

“…both open up in calendar ’19: one will be in fiscal ’19; the other one is likely to be in early fiscal ’20.”

Translated, that means “likely” in October-December 2019.

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