By the co-author of The easy Guide to Your Walt Disney World Visit 2017, from the best-reviewed Disney World guidebook series ever. Paperback available on Amazon here. Kindle version available on Amazon here. PDF version available on Gumroad here.



yourfirstvisit.net—Disney World Instructions for the First-Time Visitor







Category — a. When to Go to Walt Disney World

July 2017 at Walt Disney World

December   January   February   March   April   May   June   July

OVERVIEW: JULY 2017 AT DISNEY WORLD

july-2017-at-disney-world-from-yourfirstvisit-net

This page reviews July 2017 Walt Disney World crowds, prices, deals and discounts, weather, and operating hours; adds a few other notes; and ends with week by week summaries.

Because pretty much every US school kid is on break in July, July overall is the most crowded month at Walt Disney World.

Prices begin the month low at the deluxes, OK at the moderates, and high at the values. Moderate and value prices stay at this level all month, but at the deluxes prices drop to even lower levels on July 7.

Weather is miserably hot and humid all month long.

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December 23, 2016   No Comments

2018 Planning Tools for Walt Disney World

WALT DISNEY WORLD IN 2018

Over the past few days, I’ve published draft versions of the key planning tools for selecting when to go to Walt Disney World in 2018:

Prices can vary by 50% over the year, crowds by even more, and the best weeks to visit–for first timers, or for others–are also affected by weather, special events, and ride closures.disney-world-in-2018-from-yourfirstvisit-netSo these forecasts are key tools for you to use in planning your 2018 Disney World vacation.

For more on when to go to Disney World, see this.

2018 DISNEY WORLD PRICE SEASONS

My draft calendar of Disney World price seasons in 2018 shows forecast changes in Disney World resort hotel prices over the dates of 2018.

It’s based on recent practices by Disney World.  Disney changes its practices commonly–the most recent trend has been to increase prices in the final third of the year compared to past practices by changing lower priced seasons to higher priced seasons.

I’ll update this material when Disney releases its final 2018 price seasons calendar, most likely in the summer of 2017.

2018 DISNEY WORLD CROWD CALENDAR

My draft 2018 Disney World crowd calendar indicates lower, moderate, and higher crowd weeks to visit.

It’s based on recent trends–especially lower summer crowds and higher crowds in the first half of October–and the impacts of moving holidays, particularly Easter, and the actual day of Christmas in 2018 (which effects the start of an enormous number of school breaks).

The early Easter and Tuesday Christmas make the broad patterns of Disney crowds fairly straightforward to predict for 2018, but I will update this crowd calendar as needed  in the summer of 2017 after a deeper set of 2017/2018 school year calendars is out, and once the patterns of 2016-2017 have revealed themselves more.

2018 DISNEY WORLD WEEK RANKINGS

My draft week rankings for 2018 are based on the above price seasons and crowd forecast, and also are influenced by weather, seasonal events, and ride closures.

These 2018 Disney World week rankings will be revised as needed in the summer of 2017 after the 2018 crowd calendar and price seasons are revised.

The 2017 easy Guide

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November 1, 2016   2 Comments

2018 Weeks to Visit Walt Disney World, Ranked in Order

OVERVIEW: THE BEST TIMES IN 2018 AT WALT DISNEY WORLD

This site recommends arriving at Walt Disney World one of the first three Saturdays after Thanksgiving.

If you can’t go then, presented below are my draft rankings of the weeks of 2018 in order of best to worst times to visit Disney World.

These rankings are designed for first time visitors who do not know whether or not they will return.

For visitors on a return trip, less concerned about ride closures or the peak of the hurricane season, the later January, early February, and September weeks would be ranked much higher.

These draft rankings will be revised after the final 2018 price seasons are released and school calendars analyzed, in the summer of 2017

2018-draft-weeks-to-visit-disney-world-ranked-in-order-from-yourfirstvisit-net

These week rankings are based on my draft 2018 Disney World Crowd Calendar and on my draft 2018 Walt Disney World price seasons.

Other factors are key as well–the Christmas season, ride closure season and hurricane season in particular.

(For 2017 rankings, see this.)

RECOMMENDED 2018 WEEKS AT DISNEY WORLD, RANKED IN ORDER

The thirteen recommended weeks that follow are wonderful weeks to visit Walt Disney World in 2018

Week number one has it all–lower crowds, lower prices and wonderful Christmas programs and decorations. The first Saturday of this week overlaps with Thanksgiving crowds, but the rest of it will be marvelous:

  • 1: 11/24/18

Weeks 2 and 3 have many, but not all, of the strengths of week 1:

  • 2: 12/8/18. A week as good as week 1 on crowds and holiday programs. Slightly more expensive, however, than weeks 1 or 3
  • 3: 12/1/18. Largely a terrific week with low crowds, low prices and wonderful holiday programs. However, this is a week that, because of Pop Warner football demand for resort rooms, is rarely discounted beyond its already low prices. Those intending to stay at a value resort, Caribbean Beach or Coronado Springs should consider avoiding this week and target week 1 or 2 instead, as Pop Warner guests may make these resorts boisterous this week

Week 4 is a very strong week. It has low crowds and prices, and Disney World’s holiday program at the Magic Kingdom will be in place

  • 4: 11/10/18

Week 5 has lower prices and crowds, and offers in its first few days Disney World’s Halloween program

  • 5: 10/27/18

Weeks 6 is your best 2018 Spring Break bet, with low crowds and moderate prices

  • 6: 3/3/18

Week 7 is similar to week 5 but projected at slightly higher crowds.

  • 7: 10/20/18

Weeks 8 to 12 are all in the same 2018 post-Easter stretch, and share low crowds, moderate prices, and nice spring weather. They are in calendar order, as the weather is better earlier in this period

  • 8: 4/14/18
  • 9: 4/21/18
  • 10: 4/28/18
  • 11: 5/5/18
  • 12: 5/12/18

Week 13 is the second-best 2018 Spring Break week, with low crowds and moderate prices

  • 13: 2/24/18

This completes the weeks in 2018 that are recommended for first-time visitors who may never return.

2018 WEEKS I’M NOT SO KEEN ON

Weeks 14-18 all have moderate crowd levels, with different prices and weather. I don’t particularly recommend moderate-crowd weeks for first time visitors, but they are quite manageable, and I would go myself such weeks with no hesitation.

They are in order of least to most crowded, and within crowd groups are sorted by price.

  • 14: 11/3/18. Jersey Week”—teacher meetings in New Jersey, leading to a massive temporary immigration of New Jersey families to Orlando. Crowds moderate-minus, prices low to moderate, almost never with major discounts.
  • 15: 10/13/18. A week with moderate crowds, moderate prices, and great weather that has become more crowded in recent years
  • 16: 5/19/18. Similar to week 12, slightly more heat and humidity and crowds.
  • 17: 12/15/18. The same Christmas program as week 1-3, but higher crowds–especially later in the week–and higher prices
  • 18: 6/2/18.  Beginning of summer, with traditionally the lowest crowds until late August

Weeks 19-26 have one thing in common: they occur during the peak of the hurricane season. Hurricanes are rare and even more rarely affect a Disney World vacation, but for first-timers who may never return, why not just avoid the risk? For returning visitors, though, the low-crowd weeks among this group can be wonderful times to visit.

They are ranked in order of first crowd levels, and within the same crowd level prices.

Week 19 has among the lowest crowds and lowest prices of the year.

  • 19: 9/8/18

Weeks 20 and 21 are similar to Week 19, but with slightly higher crowds

  • 20: 9/1/18
  • 21: 9/15/18

Weeks 22 and 23 have slightly higher crowds, and Week 23, higher prices

  • 22: 8/25/18
  • 23: 9/22/18

Weeks 24 to 26 are the moderate-crowd weeks in this hurricane group

  • 24: 8/18/18
  • 25: 8/11/18
  • 26: 9/29/18

2018 WEEKS TO AVOID AT WALT DISNEY WORLD

There’s two groups of weeks to avoid: high crowd weeks and weeks when rides are often closed.

The first group, ranked 27-45, should be avoided because of crowds ranging from high to unbelievable.

This group includes all of later June, July and early August (massive crowds). It also includes the busy March spring break weeks beginning 3/10/2018, and the holiday weeks—President’s Day week, the weeks before and after Easter, Columbus Day week, Thanksgiving week, and the weeks around Christmas.

Click the table for exact rankings within these lousy weeks.

The next group includes the January and early February weeks when rides are often closed for repair or refurbishment—weeks 46-53.

Some of these weeks have the lowest crowds and lowest prices of the year.

(But not all--click the table above.)

However, this is the peak time for ride closures at Walt Disney World, especially the January weeks.

If this may be your only family visit, why go when you know some of the best of Disney World will be closed?

If you must go during this period, avoid the first days of January (massive crowds), the Martin Luther King Day (1/13/18 arrival date) holiday weekend, and possibly the week before the Pro Bowl (which is January 28th).

The Marathon Weekend (projected affecting arrival dates of 12/30/17 and 1/6/18) complicates Disney World as well, although it has little impact on park crowds.
The 2017 easy Guide

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October 31, 2016   4 Comments

Disney World Crowds in 2018

2018 CROWDS AT WALT DISNEY WORLD

The chart lower on the page shows my draft forecasts for 2018 crowds by week at Walt Disney World.

These forecasts will be revised in the summer of 2017, when the full suite of 2018 school year calendars comes out.

Dates in it are the beginning of the week, and the forecast covers the recommended Saturday-Sunday 9 day stays.

(For 2017 crowds click here. )

Crowd levels are ranked by week from 1-11 in the following way:

1: Lowest of the year

2: Lower

3: Low

4: Low-plus

5: Moderate-minus

6: Moderate

7: Moderate-plus

8: High-minus

9: High

10: Higher

11: Highest

disney-world-2018-crowd-calendar-draft-from-yourfirstvisit-net

HOW TO INTERPRET THE 2018 DISNEY WORLD CROWD CALENDAR

Dates are the beginning of the week.

As is the case in every good Disney World crowd calendar, the forecasts are about wait times on rides–not about how crowded the areas outside the rides might be.

The “low crowd” weeks–those colored green, and rated 1-4–represent the only crowd levels a family visiting for the first time, and unsure if it will ever return, should consider.

However, lower crowds, especially lowest crowds, do not always mean a better week. The lowest weeks are often best avoided by first timers who may never return because they are in the peak hurricane or the ride closure seasons.

The “moderate crowd” weeks–those in black and rated 5-7–have crowd levels I would not particularly recommend to first time visitors, though the crowds can be managed with careful planning. However, I’d go during such weeks myself with no hesitation, and think these levels are OK for returning visitors who don’t need to see everything and already know how to work Walt Disney World.

The “high crowd” weeks–those in red, rated 8-11–should be avoided by everyone. They aren’t, which is why they are so high.

MY DISNEY WORLD CROWD CALENDAR GOES UP TO “11”

The influence of the Unofficial Guide  and TouringPlans.com has led almost all Disney World crowd calendars to top out at 10.

However, I’ve always thought that the really nastiest weeks of the year deserved an 11 for emphasis.

So, in homage to Spinal Tap, I assigned 11 to “highest.”
The 2017 easy Guide

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October 30, 2016   9 Comments

Disney World 2018 Price Seasons

2018 PROJECTED RESORT PRICE SEASONS AT WALT DISNEY WORLD

The material below shows my forecasts of resort price seasons at Walt Disney World at different times of the year in 2018.

(For 2017 price seasons, see this.)

Forecasts are based on recent Disney World practices, and will be updated when the actual seasons and prices come out, likely in the early summer of 2017.

In the material below, “X% Higher” means compared to the lowest prices of the year.

In addition to the detailed forecasts presented below, Disney ups prices even more during certain weekends and holidays–particularly over the Marathon weekend, Martin Luther King Day weekend, President’s Day weekend, Memorial Day weekend, Columbus Day weekend, and Veterans Day weekend.

Cars at Disney's Art of Animation Resort from yourfirstvisit.net

2018 DISNEY WORLD PRICE SEASONS: VALUE RESORTS

  • 40-45% higher–the peak season–begins 1/1/2018
  • Lowest of year–the value season–begins 1/2/18
  • 40-45% higher–the peak season–begins 2/15/18
  • 20-25% higher–the regular season-begins 2/25/18
  • 40-45% higher–the peak season–begins 3/9/18
  • 55-75% higher–the Easter season–begins 3/25/18
  • 20-25% higher–the regular season–begins 4/8/18
  • 30-45% higher–the summer season–begins 5/25/18
  • 20-25% higher–the regular season–begins 8/12/18
  • 5-10% higher–the fall season–begins 8/24/18
  • 20-25% higher–the regular season–begins 9/16/18
  • 5-10% higher–the fall season– begins 10/28/18
  • 20-40% higher over Thanksgiving begins 11/17/18
  • 5-10% higher–the fall seasonbegins 11/24/18
  • 20-25% higher–the regular season–begins 12/9/18
  • 40-45% higher–the peak season–begins 12/14/18
  • 60-75% higher–the holiday season–begins 12/21/18

Disney's Polynesian Resort from yourfirstvisit.net2018 DISNEY WORLD PRICE SEASONS: DELUXE RESORTS

  • 25-35% higher–the peak season–begins 1/1/18
  • Lowest of year–the value season–begins 1/2/18
  • 25-35% higher–the peak season–begins 2/15/18
  • 15-20% higher–the regular season–begins 2/25/18
  • 25-35% higher–the peak season–begins 3/9/18
  • 35-55% higher–the Easter season–begins 3/25/18
  • 15-20% higher–the regular season–begins 4/8/18
  • 10% higher–the summer season–begins 5/25/18
  • 0-5% highernear-lowest of year–the value season 2–begins 7/6/18
  • Lowest of year–the value seasonbegins 8/24/18
  • 5-20% higher–the regular season 2–begins 9/21/18
  • 5-15% higher–the fall season–begins 10/14/18
  • 15-20% higher–the regular season–begins 11/2/18
  • 5-15% higher–the fall season–begins 11/12/18
  • 20-25% higher during Thanksgiving begins 11/20/18
  • 5-15% higher–the fall season–begins 11/24/18
  • 20% higher–the regular season–beings 12/9/18
  • 25-35% higher–the peak season–begins 12/14/18
  • 40-60% higher–the holiday season–begins 12/21/18

Disney's Caribbean Beach Resort from yourfirstvisit.net2018 DISNEY WORLD PRICE SEASONS: MODERATE RESORTS

  • 20-25% higher–the peak season–begins 1/1/18
  • Lowest of year–the value seasonbegins 1/2/18
  • 20-25% higher–the peak season–begins 2/15/18
  • 15-20% higher–the regular season-begins 2/25/18
  • 20-25% higher–the peak season–begins 3/9/18
  • 45-50% higher–the Easter season–begins 3/25/18
  • 15-20% higher–the regular season–begins 4/8/18
  • 15-20% higher–the summer season–begins 5/25/18
  • 15-20% higher–the regular season–begins 8/12/18
  • 10-15% higher–the fall season–begins 8/24/18
  • 15-20% higher–the regular season–begins 9/16/18
  • 10-15% higher–the fall season–begins 10/28/18
  • 20-25% higher over Thanksgiving begins 11/17/18
  • 10-15% higher–the fall seasonbegins 11/24/18
  • 15-20% higher–the regular season–beings 12/9/18
  • 20-25% higher–the peak season–begins 12/14/18
  • 50-55% higher–the holiday season–begins 12/21/18

The 2017 easy Guide

Kelly B Can Help You Book Your Trip

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October 25, 2016   4 Comments

May 2017 at Walt Disney World

December   January   February   March   April   May   June   July

OVERVIEW: MAY 2017 AT DISNEY WORLD

may-2017-at-disney-world-from-yourfirstvisit-netThis page reviews May 2017 Walt Disney World crowds, prices, deals and discounts, weather, and operating hours; adds a few other notes; and ends with week by week summaries.

Earlier May is a great time to visit Walt Disney World, with low crowds, moderate prices, and good weather.

Crowds build over the month, and the end of the month sees high crowds from Memorial Day, and the beginning of humid and rainy summer weather.

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October 17, 2016   5 Comments