TRADITIONAL FREE DINING IN 2013: WILL THEY OR WON’T THEY?
Update 5/9/13: This deal is now out! See this.
My bud Carl Trent* has taken issue with my continuing forecast that we will see some free Disney World dining in the traditional August-September period–which for reasons noted here I repeated as recently as Tuesday. His post is here.
Well, only one of us can be right, so we’ll see! I do have to note though that when Carl and I disagree on something…he’s right more often than I am.
In my “day job,” I’m a strategist, and so deeply study how to forecast.
The basic rule of forecasting is that tomorrow will be like today unless there are differences in structure, conduct or performance that will lead the relevant actors to do something differently.
I don’t see such enough such differences to agree with Carl’s call.
We both agree that Disney is (and, from a business point of view, should be) cutting way back on free dining compared to recent years.
But I see this cutback as related to coming out of the recession–and the August/September free dining program well precedes the recession.
So actions related to coming out of the recession can’t on the face of it be related to August/September free dining deal…or at least that’s my call in making the forecast I’ve made!
So one of us will be right, and the other wrong! Free Dining Smackdown 2013!
(*Carl runs Dad’s Guide to WDW, which has been on this site’s list of Recommended Sites for years. Check it out if you haven’t seen it.)
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I sure hope you are right about free dining! I am waiting to book my first trip to WDW to see if I can book with free dining. Between you and Dad, I hope you win this time! Sorry, Dad. I love your website anyway.
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🙂
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Dave, do you happen to be an actuary or a meteorologist? Your answer to that question will greatly impact my decision as to whose prediction is more accurate. I’m kidding. You and Dad have the best WDW websites our there and I always refer people to them. Also, you may have said this and I overlooked it, but do you think Disney will be announcing the new promos around May 9 regardless if there is free dining or not?
Thanks!!!
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Hi Caralee! I’m neither–I tell lies in an entirely different field! May 9 is the earliest I’d expect to see US resident deals–more likely a week or so after then…
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