14 responses

  1. Dave
    January 15, 2020

    Thanks Susan–I fixed the typo where I got it wrong. It’s right in all the analysis–I just ditzed once in the text!

    Reply

  2. Susan
    January 15, 2020

    Dave- your dates for Mardi Gras are incorrect. Both 2020 and 2021 have Fat Tuesday in February; 25th and 16th, respectively.

    Reply

  3. Lydia
    January 14, 2020

    We went to Disney last year on the second week of April. You were the only site that said that week would be great crowd wise. It was a fabulous trip and you were correct! Due to school schedules this year, we are attempting to go the second week of March. I am hoping for light crowds but preparing for higher. Thank you for all the info you provide on this website!

    Reply

    • Dave
      January 15, 2020

      Hi Lydia, and thanks!! My call for that week is still “at the bad end of OK.” Good daily plans will resolve much of the uncertainty. AMong other places, you can find such plans in my book.

      Reply

  4. Jane
    December 9, 2019

    Hi Dave, we just returned from our first trip to Orlando in 4 yrs and, to my surprise, my husband wants to return immediately. :O With our older kids we just did Universal for the first time and also went back to WDW for our 3rd visit. It was definitely much harder this time than in 2014 and 15 b/c the Thanksgiving week crowds were worse. (I’m assuming b/c of SWGE and also the consistently great weather we were blessed with, which we did not have the other times). I am not that keen on going back at Thanksgiving next year, but my husband suggested our spring break which is the very popular Easter plus the week after option. I know that WDW is terrible then, but I am getting mixed messages from the crowd calendars I’m seeing for Universal. Do you happen to know if very busy at WDW also translates to very busy at U? Plus I’d hate to be there and not at least go to WDW so I don’t think this is a good option for us. I was already looking at late August before he suggested April, but my goal was to do mostly the water parks that we’ve never done, b/c we hate heat but are ok in water. I figured late August at the regular parks was good for extremely early mornings, leaving parks by noon, then returning at night after a long afternoon of napping and pools. I’d appreciate any insight here. I do know that we already missed the ADR 6 month mark for mid April, but since we’ve been 3 times I wasn’t that worried about that, esp if we stayed mostly at Universal (in a hotel that gives early entry and express pass).

    Reply

    • Dave
      December 10, 2019

      Jane, frankly there are very few crowd calendars worth a whole lot. Spring break crowds are largely a function of kids being out of school, and the school point applies equally to WDW, Universal, Sea World, etc. See this for more on that and especially the charts. Folks who don’t do this kind of work have no real basis for predicting crowds other than the past patterns, and because Easter moves around, the past is not very reliable.

      Reply

  5. ashri
    October 2, 2019

    gosh, do i LOVE this site especially for the great information like this.
    i am so glad to have found this website a few years ago and to have really absorbed as much of the information as possible!
    you’ve got great articles and have helped me put together best days for parks

    Reply

    • Dave
      October 5, 2019

      Thanks, Ashri!

      Reply

  6. Danielle
    August 2, 2019

    Thanks for all your effort you put into this. It’s definitely helping me plan my trip 🙂

    Reply

    • Dave
      August 2, 2019

      Thanks Danielle!!

      Reply

  7. Jane
    July 28, 2019

    I also appreciate them. Your info convinced me that next March late in the month would not be a good time to go during my friend’s break from school.

    Reply

    • Dave
      July 29, 2019

      🙂 Jane

      Reply

  8. L
    July 26, 2019

    One of my favorite yourfirstvisit posts because you are scarily accurate for Spring Break predictions. I’m doing a short visit, probably April 21-24, so looking forward to the 5’s!

    Reply

    • Dave
      July 28, 2019

      Thanks, L. As you can imagine, an enormous amount of work goes into these, so it’s nice to know that at least one person appreciates them!! 🙂

      Reply

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