By the co-author of The easy Guide to Your Walt Disney World Visit 2017, from the best-reviewed Disney World guidebook series ever. Paperback available on Amazon here. Kindle version available on Amazon here. PDF version available on Gumroad here.



yourfirstvisit.net—Disney World Instructions for the First-Time Visitor



Disney World Spring Break Crowds in 2015



By Dave Shute

DISNEY WORLD SPRING BREAK CROWDS FROM FEBRUARY THROUGH APRIL 2015

Spring Break Crowds in 2015 at Disney World from yourfirstvisit.netWalt Disney World Spring Break crowds are governed by two and a quarter factors:

  • Public school Spring Break calendars, which are still largely framed around Easter but vary more than you might think
  • The demand of snow-belters for a break from winter weather, which peaks in March, and
  • The quarter factor, the date of President’s day.  Later President’s Days (which can range from February 15 to February 21) tend to make the first part of March better

An early Easter combines the first two factors, making for more than the usual horrible crowds in March but a great April; a late Easter spreads the first two factors out, yielding some good early March and early April weeks.

Easter 2015, on April 5, is in the middle of its possible range. President’s Day 2015, on February 16th, both is early, and by a quirk of the calendar, is the same week as Mardi Gras–which some southern schools get off as well.

As a result, 2015 Spring Break crowds at Walt Disney World will be

  • Horrible Presidents Day Week
  • Fine the last week of February and the first week of March,
  • Very rough the weeks beginning March 7, 14, and 21
  • Horrible the week before Easter–the week beginning March 28
  • Really horrible the week after Easter, from April 4 through 11, as more schools than usual are off this week in 2015
  • ..and back to fine after April 11

2015 PUBLIC SCHOOL SPRING BREAKS AND THEIR EFFECTS ON WALT DISNEY WORLD CROWDS

Although more and more school districts are moving away from an Easter-centered Spring Break, the plurality of kids still have the weeks before Easter or following Easter off.

As a result, the single biggest factor determining better and worse Spring Break weeks at Walt Disney World is the date of Easter–which can range from March 22 to April 25.

A later Easter has a couple of different effects: first, it spreads out the dates of breaks for school districts that don’t frame their breaks around Easter, and second, if particularly late, will push districts that typically take the week after Easter off into the week before Easter instead, to keep from compressing their May academic calendars.  

An earlier Easter has the opposite effects.  Districts that traditionally try to take the week after Easter off will be able to do so, and districts that don’t base their calendars on Easter will be largely compressed into a couple of March weeks.

The date of President’s Day–which can range from February 15 to February 21–also has an effect. Because many districts both have a spring break and also take the week of  President’s Day off, the later President’s Day is, the better early March will be–as parents avoid taking their kids out of school the weeks after a long President’s Day break.

The effect of the various dates in 2015 is to put most 2015 school spring breaks into five consecutive weeks: those beginning March 7, March 14, March 21, March 28 and April 4.

ACTUAL 2015 SPRING BREAKS

2015 Spring Break Crowds at Disney World from yourfirstvisit.net
The chart above illuminates this.

It’s based on data from a weighted sample including more than 165 of the largest relevant US public school districts.

(For how the database is built, see this. Weekends are in black, except Easter, in red. Click the image to enlarge it.)

President’s Day week–not charted–will be more than its usual mess, because of its 2015 overlap with Mardi Gras. I’ve assigned it a crowd ranking of 11/highest.  Crowds will start to show beginning the Thursday before and remain high through the 21st.

Next to no kids are on break between the week after President’s Day and March 6. I rate the week beginning February 21 4/low-plus crowds–higher early in the week, better later.  The week beginning February 28 is rated 3/low crowds. Both of these are recommended weeks.

The weeks beginning March 7, 14 and 21 have a lot of kids on break, and even more visitors coming to take a break from the snow. For 2015, I rate all three as 9/high crowds.

The week of March 28 is the week before Easter, typically the busiest week of spring break at Disney World.

However, in 2015 more kids are on break after Easter than before it, so I have the week beginning the 28th ranked as 10/higher crowds, and the week beginning April 4th as 11/ highest crowds.

Only a few school districts are on break after the week after Easter–and many of these had earlier long breaks in February. So I don’t see any real crowding issues from April 11, 2015 through late May! Almost all of these later spring weeks are recommended.

Follow yourfirstvisit.net on Facebook or Google+ or Twitter or Pinterest!!

RELATED STUFF

6 comments

1 Kelly B - Agent with Destinations in Florida { 08.04.14 at 4:26 pm }

So many different spring breaks. Love the homeschooling lets us choose when we’ll have some time off.

2 Dave { 08.05.14 at 9:07 am }

Yup! Homeschooling, and year round calendars at public schools, do make things so much easier!

3 Jill B { 09.03.14 at 5:04 pm }

Im trying to get different reviews on going to Disney MK & HS during the first week of June 2015 before I book for that week, but anyway I have seen alot of these “crowd” things and of course they all are not together some say different than others. And thats fine BUT I have also read about the week being good and bad because of (gay days) so what is your input on that honestly cuz we have 2 lil ones and dont want them around major crowds… I have read that it is an awesome week cuz crowds are kinda low because people by pass this week cuz of that but was warned to just stay away from the parks that have the festivities going on so in other words when people are there the other parks are low on crowds..I just dont know what to do haha..we usually go during spring break but picking a different month for next year and of course June is the only month we have open but cant do the 2nd & 3rd week of June…please help me!

4 Dave { 09.04.14 at 12:45 pm }

Jill, I don’t think it’s a good week, but it’s better than most spring break weeks–depending on when your spring break is! I have some more specifics on it here: http://yourfirstvisit.net/2013/12/08/2015-weeks-to-visit-walt-disney-world-ranked-in-order/

5 Jill B { 09.04.14 at 1:59 pm }

Dang yep spring break isnt happening it says the highest for our week…lol…thanks tho.

6 Michael Miltenberger { 09.23.15 at 6:39 pm }

I can’t wait until we go to DISNEY!!!!!! Also I wonder what the video will be!!!!

Leave a Comment | Ask a Question | Note a Problem 2017 easy Guide

My response to questions and comments will be on the same page as the original comment, likely within 24-36 hours . . . I reserve the right to edit and delete comments as I choose . . . All rights reserved. Copyright 2008-2017 . . . Unless otherwise noted, all photos are by me--even the ones in focus--except for half a dozen from my niecelets . . . This site is entirely unofficial and not authorized by any organizations written about in it . . . All references to Disney and other copyrighted characters, trademarks, marks, etc., are made solely for editorial purposes. The author makes no commercial claim to their use . . . Nobody's perfect, so follow any advice here at your own risk.