Over the weekend, I finished up and posted the revised–and, barring typos–final versions of the 2014 Disney World Crowd Calendar and 2014 Weeks to Visit Ranked in Order.
Material like this is the most popular stuff on this site.
I publish initial forecasts about 15 months before the respective year begins, and then, with Disney’s final price seasons and my analysis of public school calendars in hand, revise it the summer before.
I’ll be publishing more on how specific parts of each were built over the coming weeks, but for now, the only big change was downgrading the week beginning March 29, 2014, which I formerly had as a “recommended week.”
This week will be more crowded than I had thought in the draft material–I had had it as 3/low, it’s now 5/moderate-minus–and in turn its week ranking has shifted from 14th best of the year to 17th best of the year. While it’ll still be an OK week, this change is enough to knock it out of the “recommended weeks.”
Besides the details promised above, still left to do this summer are the 2014 “Cheat Sheet” and “Week Picker.” (See this and this for the 2013 equivalents.) And after that I’ll start working on the 2015 forecasts!!
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14 Comments on "The Revised 2014 Crowd Calendar and Week Rankings are Out!"
Joe, yes, having analyzed the calendars in early July, more kids are on break that week than I had thought would be. I’ll be publishing the details soon, but if you can’t move your date it’ll be OK; if you can move them, the week after will be better.
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Dave,
Well of course we booked for the week of 3/29. What are you basing the revision on? School calendars? It sounds like you are saying this week would still be okay but not as good as previously thought, is that accurate? Should we back off entirely and find another week? We are traveling with 2 other families and we all agreed on this week so switching would be difficult. Everyone but my family are first timers and I don’t want to guide them into an absolute storm.
Thanks!
Hey Don, thanks! On your specific question…If I understand it correctly, I don’t have that, but can direct you a couple of places that do (which are probably what you are recalling).
Tell me a little more specifically what you are looking for–and for what dates–and I’ll point you in the right direction!
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Your site is positively fabulous. My wife and I are seasoned Disney veterans. I think I got information of park touring plans off your site last year. (Ex: which rides/shows/parks are busiest each day of the week) Is that correct? If so where are they? I can’t seem to find them.
Thanks again for all your hard work in keeping your site current. It must be overwhelming at times.
Don S